Polymarket bettors have wagered $1.3 million on a US recession by end of 2026, with odds at 30%. JPMorgan puts the ...

While the Fed is projecting growth, four key threats could derail the economy in 2026: policy-driven inflation, "stagflation ...

Multiple reports reveal that increasing tensions in the Middle East could spell trouble for the economy.

Polymarket now sees a 28% chance of a U.S. recession by the end of 2026, as odds declined from an earlier high of ~40-45% to ...

People are preparing themselves for the fact that we are already in a recession now or that there is a high likelihood we will soon be in one,” said Hady Farag, a partner and associate director at ...

This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions is met: 1. The seasonally adjusted annualized percent change in quarterly U.S. real GDP from the previous quarter is less than 0 ...

Recession fears are back, but the outlook is more complicated than a simple yes or no. Here’s what top economists, business leaders, and market signals are saying right now.

Prediction markets have started to see the odds of recession increasing this year. Investors would be smart to stick to a strategy focused on dollar-cost averaging into a core ETF holding. Given the ...

Nearly half of Americans asked by a new YouGov poll believe the economy will collapse in the next decade. The sour sentiment comes as economic analysts have raised their recession predictions to ...

Recession risk in the U.S. is climbing on the back of geopolitical conflict, an oil shock, and a constrained Federal Reserve. Oil is above $95 after the Iran conflict disrupted global energy supply, ...

Nobel laureate Paul Samuelson once said the stock market has forecast nine of the last five recessions. He probably meant not to take warning signs from the stock market too seriously on recession ...

Given the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, the odds of a U.S. recession have been rising on prediction market platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket. Odds are currently hovering around 30%, although ...