The expected FG% model weighs several factors to determine the odds a shot is going in based on the exact situation of the shot. NBA.com Staff What’s the Expected Field Goal Percentage of this ...

Expected goals is a hockey metric, often considered an advanced statistic used in analytics to help predict scoring. Expected goals, in short, is the chance that an unblocked shot becomes a goal. What ...

For more stories like this click here to follow The Athletic’s sports betting section and have them added to your feed. Whether you like it or not, expected goals are here to stay. Critics argue that ...